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Saturday, December 31, 2016

2016 KirkLindstrom.com Article List

Articles in Red are KEY

Feb 28 Fed Funds Interest Rates vs. S&P500 Index 
Feb 26 SPY Continues Rally After Sentiment Charts Suggested Tradable Low 
Feb 23 2CS Indicator Back Above 20 After Market Rallies 7.5%
Feb 18 SPY Up Sharply Since Sentiment Charts Suggested Tradable Low 
Feb 11 With SPY Down 14% Again, Sentiment Charts Suggest Tradable Low 
Feb 04 With SPY Still Down 10%, Sentiment Charts Suggest A Tradable Bottom 
Jan 31 Los Altos Real Estate - Home prices gain another 15.7% in 2015
Jan 26 Tom Drake's 2CS Sentiment Indicator - Buy Signal
Jan 14 Sentiment Charts Reaching Blood In The Street Levels - SPY Down 11%
Jan 14 Timer Digest Market Timer of the Year Awards - 3rd Place long & short term
Jan 08 New Issue CD Rates At Fidelity 
Jan 07 Star One Credit Union Savings Account and CD Rates
Jan 07 Weekly Sentiment Charts Falling With SPY Down 8%

Friday, December 30, 2016

US Stock Market Summary for 2016

Market Update -  The US stock markets all made record highs this month and closed the year less than three percent below those record highs.  This table summarizes the data:
Click images to see full size

This graph shows the market data graphically for 2016 through 12/30/16.
Note the table above shows:
  • The S&P500 is 22.40% from its February 11th closing low, the day I wrote this free article "With SPY Down 14% Again, Sentiment Charts Suggest Another Tradable Low"
  • The Russell 2000 (small cap index) is up 42.30% since the February 11th low.
  • I didn't just write about this being a great time to buy, I sent out special alert emails to my newsletter subscribers while the market was bottoming in January and February as this summary of my email headers shows:
  • Feel free to verify with my subscribers who post on my Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter Facebook Page.
 This graph shows the S&P500 ETF SPY and its dividend back to 1992.

This graph puts the Dow Jones Industrial Average into perspective using a log chart.  Many pundits on TV say lowering the corporate tax rate will allow hundreds of billions of dollars to return to the US where some will be used for share buybacks.  This buying by companies plus scared bond investors looking for return, could easily drive the Dow back to the center blue line... of course a bear market could also drive it to the lower blue line first so I take profits at new highs to have funds to buy the declines and thus beat the market over time like very few others have.

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter:
Subscribe NOW & get the December 2016 Issue for FREE!!! 

Congratulations to everyone who is in the stock market this year!
Happy New Year!

Thursday, December 29, 2016

KEYS Keysight TA - Bull Flag & Inverted Head & Shoulders

Keysight Technologies Inc. Technical Analysis
Bull Flag & Inverted Head & Shoulders Patterns
Click charts for full size images
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 the December 2016 Issue for FREE!!
This chart shows KEYS is up 29.26% YTD with a bull flag pattern stretching from mid November through today.
Bull Flag 
This next chart shows KEYS has an "Inverted Head & Shoulder" pattern stretching from May 2015 through mid September 2016.  The break of this dashed blue neckline was bullishly tested from above in October 2016 before the big jump to $38 in November 2016.
Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern
Here is a great "Pro" article at Seeking Alpha "Keysight Technologies: An Intriguing Bull Case, But It Looks Priced In"  that basically says "Keys was a great buy when Kirk was buying in the $20s and low $30s but not so great now after he took profits!"
I believe one reason we are seeing a major "pause" here is Fidelity's Joel Tillinghast said in March that he would stop buying it for his stellar $35B "Fidelity Low-Priced Stock fund" at $35 so he's probably done what I did and take some profits. See Barrons "Fidelity’s Tillinghast: How He Beats the Market"
"Keysight can improve its profitability as a stand-alone company and might possibly be an interesting acquisition. Oftentimes, the second part of the story to spinoffs is that they get reacquired. It might be, by another instrument company. Keysight trades at $26 and is earning not quite $3. On a quarter-to-quarter basis, growth looks a little volatile, but less so on a yearly basis."
I was fairly aggressive buying KEYS for my "Explore Portfolio" in the low $30s and $20s and have already taken some profits with a break-even price now down to $26.47.
and get the December 2016 Issue for FREE!!



Wednesday, December 28, 2016

Kirk's Irrational Exuberance & Pessimism Chart for the Dow DJIA

Below is my chart of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (Dow or DJIA) trend lines with "Irrational Exuberance" and "Irrational Pessimism" charted from 1980 through today.
Click image for full size chart
More Dow charts
and get the December 2016 Issue for FREE!!
Newsletter Explore Portfolio Performance


Saturday, December 10, 2016

US Stock Markets All Make New Record Highs

Market Update - US Stock Markets All Made New Record Highs!!! 
Click images to see full size

On Friday December 9, 2016 all major U.S. stock market indexes closed at new record highs.
  Note the table above shows:
  • The S&P500 is 23.53% from its February 11th closing low, the day I wrote this free article "With SPY Down 14% Again, Sentiment Charts Suggest Another Tradable Low"
  • The Russell 2000 (small cap index) is up 45.54% since the February 11th low.
  • I didn't just write about this being a great time to buy, I sent out special alert emails to my newsletter subscribers while the market was bottoming in January and February as this summary of my email headers shows:
  • Feel free to verify with my subscribers who post on my Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter Facebook Page.
This graph shows the market data graphically for 2016 YTD.
 This graph shows the S&P500 ETF SPY and its dividend back to 1992.
This graph puts the Dow Jones Industrial Average into perspective using a log chart.  Many pundits on TV say lowering the corporate tax rate will allow hundreds of billions of dollars to return to the US where some will be used for share buybacks.  This buying by companies plus scared bond investors looking for return, could easily drive the Dow back to the center blue line... of course a bear market could also drive it to the lower blue line first so I take profits at new highs to have funds to buy the declines and thus beat the market over time like very few others have.

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter:
Subscribe NOW & get the December 2016 Issue for FREE!!! 



Monday, December 05, 2016

State and Local Sales Tax Rates Map for 2016

State and Local Combined Sales Tax Rates for 2016

This graphic shows the estimated, combined state and local sales tax rates for all 50 US states for the 2016 tax year.
These five states do not have statewide sales taxes: 
  1. Alaska, 
  2. Delaware, 
  3. Montana, 
  4. New Hampshire, and 
  5. Oregon. 
Of these, Alaska and Montana allow local cities and/or counties to charge local sales taxes.

California (aka Taxifornia) has the highest state sales tax at 7.5% but 1% of that must be distributed to local cities so you could argue it should only be 6.5% on that map.

When you add in local taxes, several places have higher combined tax rates than California such as the city of Chigago with a combined sales tax rate of 10.25%

For more, see "State Income Tax Rates Map For 2016" California has highest rate @ 13.3%

 Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter
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For more information and details by state in tabular form, see State and Local Sales Tax Rates in 2016 at TaxFoundation.org
 Walczak, Jared. “Chicago Adopts Highest Sales Tax Among Major Cities.” Tax Foundation. July 16, 2015. http://taxfoundation.org/blog/chicago-adopts-highest-sales-tax-among-major-cities.

Saturday, December 03, 2016

State Income Tax Rates Map For 2016

This graphic shows the state income tax rates for all 50 US states for the 2016 tax year.
The top rate is California with 13.3%!!

The bottom rate is a tie with 7 states that have no state income taxes.

 Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter
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