Saturday, May 28, 2022

Market Update - Nice Rebound Off Bear Market Low (so far?)

 As of Friday's close, the Nasdaq and Wilshire 2000 small cap indexes remain in bear markets while the S&P 500 has rallied off its bear market low back into "correction" territory while the Dow never reached the 20% down bear market threshold.

Interest rates have come down some but gasoline prices in some parts of California are OVER $7.00 a gallon!

S&P 500 Observation:  Note how the recent 20.9% "bear market correction" kept the S&P 500 contained by the channel made by the much quicker, 35.3% COVID-19 bear market in 2020. 


Market Update for May 27, 2022

Interest Rates:  After spending some time above 3.00%, the 30-year and 10-year Treasury Bonds are now back below 3.00, perhaps an indication that inflation has peaked and the US economic growth is slowing, i.e. GDP growth is falling.

US Treasury Interest Rates Graph

CPI vs Expected Inflation Rate

Average Gasoline Prices in the US
Gasoline Prices are higher here in California with many stations over $7 per gallon!
Sentiment Charts:
"Nasdaq New Highs - New Lows" 

CPC - Put:Call Ratio

Graph of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Bulls Minus Bears Sentiment Indicator vs the Dow.
CNN Fear & Greed Index



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