Bradley Turn Points Jul thru Dec 2025

 Bradley Turn Points - Bradley Dates July 2025 through December 31, 2025

Compliments of Breeze 

Trading Signal SOX vs CLX on the SOX

 Here are some charts of the Trading Signal SOX vs CLX on the SOX 

Charts best viewed full screen with a large monitor.

Thanks to Luka for posting the daily CLX data.

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter 

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Social Security COLA for 2026

📰2026 COLA is 2.8%📈

CPI-U YTD is 2.9% and it was 2.9% in 2024 yet the COLA for the full year is only 2.8%.

Do not forget that the base rate subject to the combined 15.3% (16.2% if you make over $200K) total Payroll Tax goes up faster than inflation each year.

"Nobody" in government talks about the massive tax increase on middle income earnings which is the much higher percentage increase (4.8%!) in the maximum earnings subject to the tax. 

Press Release

Maximum Taxable Earnings by year

Excerpt from my next newsletter.

Payroll Tax Rates

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter 

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Full Press Release

https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USSSA/bulletins/3f83cb8

STAX Schwab Trading Activity Index Still Low Despite Near Market Highs

Schwab Trading Activity Index, also known as STAX, remains low despite the S&P 500 and Nasdaq markets sitting less than 1% below their record closing highs.

Here is a graph of the STAX Schwab Trading Activity Index Over Time, from January 2019 through Today.

Note that even with the markets near record highs, STAX remains closer to a 6-year low than a 6-year high. 

Click Images to See Full Size Images
Best in Full Screen

Schwab Trading Activity Index

Market Update

II Bulls Over Bulls Plus Bears 1998 to Now

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter 

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2C-P Sentiment Indicator

2C-p = 8.9 and rising from a low of 1.4 on 4/10/25  

Invented by Tom Drake, the 2CS-p is the "5 day moving average of the product of the vix and p/c ratio."   The scale runs from 0 to 100% with 0% max bullishness and 100% max bearish reading for us contrarians.

To calculate 2C-p, Larbro explains: "Take each day's p/c ratio and multiply it by that days vix. Take the sum of those results for that day and the previous 4 (5 total) and percentage rank them from 0% to 100% in terms of size against all the other data you have. The higher the numbers (5-day sum of p/c x vix), the higher the ranking. Then subtract that % ranking from 100% to "invert" the ranking so that lower 2c-p correspond to lows in the market and vice versa.

Chart of S&P 500 and VIX vs Time

In my case they are ranked from today all the way back to Feb 10, 2003, the earliest I have data for. So, in a nutshell if yesterday's 2c-p was 7.8% (which it is) that tells you that only 7.8% of the sum of the 5-day p/c x vix (aka the 2c-p) is lower than yesterday's value."

To read what the sentiment indicators mean to me each month, subscribe to Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

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For current subscribers, see page 6 paragraph one and two for what this Fear & Greed Index chart means to me

CPI vs Fed Funds Rate vs 10-Yr US Treasury Note Rate Graph

 Graph shows January 2004 through March28, 2025

Graph shows July 2020 through March28, 2025:

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

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AAII Survey: Sentiment Crashes to Near 37-year Lows

 AAII Survey: Bulls minus Bears vs. Log DJIA - 1988 to Today

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

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2/27/28 Update 12:29 PM PST 

Fear and Greed Index at 20

STAX vs S&P 500 Graphed Over Time

Here is a graph of the STAX Schwab Trading Activity Index Over Time, from January 2019 through Today.

Note that even with the markets at record highs last week, the STAX remains closer to a 6-year low than a 6-year high. 

Click Images to See Full Size
Best in Full Screen

US Stock Markets (Log Scale) vs. Fed Funds Rate 

II Sentiment: Investors Intelligence Bulls / (Bulls+Bears) & S&P 500 Weekly

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

To see what stocks and ETFs are in my "Explore Portfolio" and get a full list of on my price targets to both take profits or buy more:

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