The Economic Cycle Research Institute, ECRI - a New York-based
independent forecasting group, released its latest readings for its
proprietary Weekly Leading Index (WLI) today. (More about ECRI)
From ECRI's Weekly Leading Index Falls: Jobs To Get Worse Under Recession-Bound U.S. Economy
From ECRI's Weekly Leading Index Falls: Jobs To Get Worse Under Recession-Bound U.S. Economy
- ECRI’s recession call isn’t based on just one or two leading indexes, but on dozens of specialized leading indexes, including the U.S. Long Leading Index, which was the first to turn down – before the Arab Spring and Japanese earthquake – to be followed by downturns in the Weekly Leading Index and other shorter-leading indexes.
- ...the most reliable forward-looking indicators are now collectively behaving as they did on the cusp of full-blown recessions, not “soft landings.”
- "if you think this is a bad economy, you haven’t seen anything yet."
For a better understanding of ECRI's indicators, read its book, "Beating the Business Cycle."
- More about ECRI
- Sept. 27, 2011 "ECRI Recession Call"
- June 3, 2011 "ECRI's Weekly Leading Index Falls Again; Economy to Slow Further in Coming Months"
- Nov 30, 2010 "ECRI Calls for Revival of US Economic Growth"
- Oct 28, 2010 "The much-feared double-dip recession is not going to happen"
- Oct. 28, 2010 ECRI Warns of High Inflation Nightmare From QE2
- Sept. 24, 2010 ECRI - Premature to Predict New Recession
- July 01, 2010 ECRI Weekly Leading Indicators Widely Misunderstood
- Dec. 04, 2009: ECRI Warns of Lasting High Unemployment Despite Economic Recovery
- July 31, 2009: ECRI Predicts End of Home Price Downturn
- July 21, 2009: ECRI Predicts The End of the Recession is Imminent
- April 3, 2009: ECRI Says US Business Cycle Recovery Ahead
- March 28, 2008: ECRI Calls it "A Recession of Choice"
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