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Sunday, November 29, 2020

New Stock Market Record Highs - Top Stock Market Timer Standings

📉Market Update 11/27/2020📈💰💲 On Friday, 11/27/2020, we got new record highs for the S&P 500, the Nasdaq, the Russell 2000 small cap index and my Explore Portfolio!!! My Explore stocks are up about 28% YTD!  Details below.
📰🏆I'm also mentioned twice in the most recent issue of Timer Digest! 🏆 I'm tied for first in the 6-month category and tied for 🏆fifth place in the 2-year category!
Discuss this post in my "Investing for the Long Term" Facebook group here.

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My Explore Portfolio is a mixture of stocks, ETFs, bonds and cash

A year of "Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Service" includes
  1. SPECIAL email alerts when I buy or sell securities for my explore portfolio
  2. A list of "Auto Buy" and "Auto Sell" levels set ahead of time so you can place limit orders with your broker. 
  3. SPECIAL email alert reminders when stocks I follow reach my automatic buy and sell levels
  4. Email alerts when I make changes to these target levels. 
    • The idea is you can set "limit orders" on weekends or evenings and not worry while you work.
  5. An "online list" of my buys and sells for each security with graphs so you can check these from anywhere with any device that is connected to the internet without passwords.
  6. 12 monthly electronic (PDF) issues of "Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter" that contains all the information I check monthly for each of the securities I follow plus updates on key sentiment and economic factors that help me decide what to recommend
    • and
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Wednesday, June 10, 2020

Investors Intelligence Sentiment vs S&P 500

Investors Intelligence Survey Data of Bulls-Bears vs. Weekly S&P 500

The “Investors Intelligence Survey“ or IIS is one of the oldest weekly sentiment indicators used today. Charts of the Investors’ Intelligence Survey (IIS) “Bulls over Bulls plus Bears” versus the market are key tools for stock market technical analysis or sentiment. The IIS began in January 1963 by A.W. Cohen and has been published every week ever since.

With the Nasdaq at a record high and the S&P 500 back to only 5% below its record high, II sentiment has recovered nicely.  I've been taking profits on some of the shares I bought during the "Covid-19 Bear Market" so I'm ready.
Chart of Investors Intelligence Sentiment Survey
Bulls / (Bulls+Bears) vs S&P 500
(best at full screen on large monitor)

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Saturday, April 11, 2020

Best Week Since 1974 -Market Update 4/11/20

Market Update 4/11/20: For the Easter holiday-shortened week, the S&P 500 surged 12.1% for its biggest one-week gain since 1974, while the Dow rallied 12% and the Nasdaq jumped 10.6%. The S&P 500 (Chart #3 below) is well into a new bull market up nearly 29% off its bear market low.

It is shocking to see record bearish sentiment on many of the sentiment charts at the end and equally shocking how quickly we've recovered off the lows to a more "neutral" position.

For the year, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are down 16.9%, 13.7% and 9.1% respectively with the Russell 2000 still in bear territory down 25.3% YTD .

After falling 36% to a bear market low of 2,191.86, the S&P 500 has rallied 29% to a new, cyclical bull market high while covering just over 50% of its loss from the peak.

While the the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are now down less than 20% from their peaks, the Russell 2000 trails significantly at down 28.4%.

Hopefully you raised cash like I did in my newsletter to have funds to buy back some of what we sold at much lower prices.

Intel (INTC) is one of the "great trading stocks" I cover in "Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter" where I trade Intel around core positions.
I took profits in January at $66.57 then used the bear market decline to buy the shares back at a $14.65 discount ($66.57-$51.92=$14.65) in March.
Here is a copy of the email alert I sent my subscribers to REMIND them Intel reached the price I published in the newsletter for buying shares back.

More Intel charts.  The second chart at that link has a very cool AI (Artificial Intelligence) feature that draws resistance and support lines on the one-year graph.

During the COVID-19 Bear Market Decline, I added to 15 of the 17 individual "issues" I cover in my newsletter for "Kirk's Explore Portfolio." That was a record as typically there are only one or two buys or sells during a month. I haven't worked so hard to send out alerts and update my newsletter with new target prices (listed on the full page coverage of each individual issue with a summary of all buy and sell prices updated on page 5 of each newsletter) since I started the newsletter in 1998! Order a Free Sample Issue if you wish to see what this looks like.
Now with the great, big rally from the bottom, we are very, very close to my "take profits" points for many of these stocks. Some are still closer to the buy points so it is not too late either. IF this turns out to be a long, secular bear market with cyclical bull market rallies, then I should continue to profit from that volatility.

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Here are a few, important investor sentiment charts that I cover in my newsletter. You can see there was record fear at the bottom of this bear market before the current bull market started.

Come discuss this article and more on my Facebook "Investing for the Long Term" group!

Thursday, March 05, 2020

Investor Sentiment Charts for March 5, 2020

At the end of February the Stock market, as measured by the Dow, S&P 500, the NASDAQ and the Russell 2000, was down double digits from recent record highs.  Yesterday it was up some from those lows.  

Investor sentiment was extremely bullish as the stock market was making those record highs but now it is much subdued with some readings at extremely bearish levels. 

As of 8:30 AM PST today (3/5/20) all four markets are down 1% to 10% with my Newsletter Explore Portfolio down 2.9%.

Market Update for Wednesday March 4, 2020
Market Graph for Thursday March 5, 2020:
Market Update for Friday February 28, 2020

Fear & Greed Index for Thursday March 5, 2020
Fear and Greed Index vs S&P 500:

DJIA vs Oscillators 


II Investors Intelligence Bulls vs Bears

AAII Survey: Bulls minus Bears vs. Log DJIA

CPC Put/Call Ratio

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