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Saturday, March 12, 2022

Expected Inflation and Bond Interest Rates

Expected inflation defined as the difference between the 10-year T-bill and 10 year TIPS rates is the highest since I've keep this data.  

CPI vs Expected Inflation Rate
This is bad news as it mean bond investors are starting to believe inflation will get out of hand or at least average 2.94% over the next decade rather than the Fed's target of 2.0%

TIPS Core Yield and I-Bond Base Rates 

Joe Biden (image) visiting the Chevron station on First and Main in Los Altos yesterday

Los Altos Chevron 3/111/22 prices:
Regular $5.899 per gallon
Super 91 $6.399 per gallon


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