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Friday, September 27, 2024

Stock Market vs. US Fed Funds Rate 1993 to 2024

US Stock Markets (Log Scale) vs. Fed Funds Rate and some other charts I use to help find good times to take profits then use those profits to buy back shares when the markets decline.


STAX Schwab Trading Activity Index Over Time - January 2019 through Today

II Sentiment: Investors Intelligence Bulls / (Bulls+Bears) & S&P 500 Weekly

DJIA vs Oscillators

The Federal Reserve lowered interest
rates by 0.50% and their preferred measure of inflation, PCE, came in at 2.2% (but 2.7% if you ignore food and energy inflation.)

Many are excited by this news thinking the Fed has inflation heading back to 2.0%, but... note that core inflation is not dropping and has actually risen to its May 2024 level after being lower in June and July.

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