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Wednesday, April 23, 2025

2C-P Sentiment Indicator

2C-p = 8.9 and rising from a low of 1.4 on 4/10/25  

Invented by Tom Drake, the 2CS-p is the "5 day moving average of the product of the vix and p/c ratio."   The scale runs from 0 to 100% with 0% max bullishness and 100% max bearish reading for us contrarians.

To calculate 2C-p, Larbro explains: "Take each day's p/c ratio and multiply it by that days vix. Take the sum of those results for that day and the previous 4 (5 total) and percentage rank them from 0% to 100% in terms of size against all the other data you have. The higher the numbers (5-day sum of p/c x vix), the higher the ranking. Then subtract that % ranking from 100% to "invert" the ranking so that lower 2c-p correspond to lows in the market and vice versa.


Chart of S&P 500 and VIX vs Time




In my case they are ranked from today all the way back to Feb 10, 2003, the earliest I have data for. So, in a nutshell if yesterday's 2c-p was 7.8% (which it is) that tells you that only 7.8% of the sum of the 5-day p/c x vix (aka the 2c-p) is lower than yesterday's value."

To read what the sentiment indicators mean to me each month, subscribe to Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

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For current subscribers, see page 6 paragraph one and two for what this Fear & Greed Index chart means to me


















Saturday, March 29, 2025

CPI vs Fed Funds Rate vs 10-Yr US Treasury Note Rate Graph

 Graph shows January 2004 through March28, 2025


Graph shows July 2020 through March28, 2025:

Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

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Thursday, February 27, 2025

AAII Survey: Sentiment Crashes to Near 37-year Lows

 AAII Survey: Bulls minus Bears vs. Log DJIA - 1988 to Today






Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

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2/27/28 Update 12:29 PM PST 

Fear and Greed Index at 20






Monday, February 10, 2025

STAX vs S&P 500 Graphed Over Time

Here is a graph of the STAX Schwab Trading Activity Index Over Time, from January 2019 through Today.

Note that even with the markets at record highs last week, the STAX remains closer to a 6-year low than a 6-year high. 

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US Stock Markets (Log Scale) vs. Fed Funds Rate 


II Sentiment: Investors Intelligence Bulls / (Bulls+Bears) & S&P 500 Weekly


Kirk Lindstrom's Investment Letter

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